Siting Energy Facilities by Ralph L. Keeney

By Ralph L. Keeney

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However, the cir­ cumstances which may force unscheduled shutdown or curtailment of the facilities' operations may depend strongly on the site. The main causes for such differences would be natural phenomena, such as severe storms, and accessibility to allow continuing operations or correcting any problems. Hydroelectric power plants obviously must cut their electricity produc­ tion during severe droughts. To the extent that one site is more protected from such occurrences than another, it may be more reliable.

Where p5(x) is simply x itself], we will use p5 throughout. The assessment of the magnitude and the probabilities of the possible consequences should be accomplished, when possible, through the devel­ opment and use of formalized models. Such models would define the pos­ sible levels of impact in terms of the attributes for each alternative site. In the disciplines pertinent to the five general concerns, there are exten­ sive bodies of literature on techniques for predicting impacts. In the con­ duct of any of these assessments, knowledgeable professionals in the various disciplines have to be involved and their familiarity with available impact-predicting techniques used.

The formal approaches which have been used for screening can be categorized into three basic procedures: Exclusion Screening. A site is excluded from the set of candidate sites because it does not meet an exclusion criterion. The elimination of nu­ clear power sites within 5 miles of a town of over 3000 population is an ex­ ample. Inclusion Screening. A site is included as a candidate site because it does meet a particular criterion. The inclusion of any site within 1 mile of a coal mine for a coal power plant is an example.

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